Modeling storm surge extremes

Researchers report a model for estimating the probabilities of extreme storm surge events that exploits dependencies in sea levels across sites to compensate for the sparseness of observed extreme events; the model yielded good agreement with tide gauge data, reduced uncertainty in estimates of 50-year storm surge levels compared with traditional modeling approaches, and allowed estimation of storm surge levels at arbitrary ungauged locations, according to the authors.

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Article #19-13049: “Probabilistic reanalysis of storm surge extremes in Europe,” by Francisco M. Calafat and Marta Marcos.

MEDIA CONTACT: Francisco M. Calafat, National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, UNITED KINGDOM; tel: +44-7591-084-616; e-mail: <

[email protected]

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This part of information is sourced from https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-01/potn-mss010820.php

Francisco M. Calafat
44-759-108-4616
[email protected]

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